Neely Set-Up on T for Return to All-Time High

AT&T has a Neely Crash Set-Up for a Return to the All-Time High

AT&T has a Neely Crash Set-Up for a Return to the All-Time High

T followed up on its 2002 crash with a partial retrace and a retest of the crash low in 2008. That is one of my favorite Neely set-ups for a return to the all-time high.

T formed a megaphone top (red) on its partial retrace and now it is bogged down at that megaphone VWAP.  It looks like it’s forming a triangle there, but that could morph into any kind of consolidation you can think of.

Once T breaks out from the VWAP consolidation, the next target is the all-time high near the megaphone top.

Dollar Update

DX is Megaphoning Near the Red Megaphone VWAP

DX is Megaphoning Near the Red Megaphone VWAP

DX has started a megaphone near the red megaphone VWAP, which is the minimum retrace target for this dip.  DX is still likely to make it to the bottom of the blue rising megaphone before this dip is over and could go all the way to the red megaphone bottom.

The most likely scenario is the purple one, where the little pink megaphone keeps megaphoning.  The moves within the megaphone would typically get wilder to put in retests of the 2016 low and the high at the beginning of 2017.

The purple scenario would usually complete as a triangle or diamond continuation pattern.

Oil Price Channel

Oil is Working its Way Neatly Down the Blue Price Channel

Oil is Working its Way Neatly Down the Blue Price Channel

Oil is working its way neatly down the blue price channel. It’s either maxing out the channel waves before starting a megaphone bottom (green scenario) or its in the middle of a falling wedge (purple) or falling megaphone (orange) bottom already.

We’ll know which it is by when it first breaks the channel top.

Oil's Next Move Could Be to the Orange Megaphone Top or Oil Could Return to VWAP at 50 and Start a New Megaphone There

Oil’s Next Move Could Be to the Orange Megaphone Top or Oil Could Return to VWAP at 50 and Start a New Megaphone There

Oil has already done its job of confirming the orange megaphone by taking out the August 2, 2016 low.  It’s next move could go all the way for the orange megaphone top.  But oil could also return to the orange megaphone VWAP at 50 and start a new megaphone there.

If oil is going to go for the orange megaphone top, it will likely attempt a megaphone across 50 that breaks out in a Sornette melt-up set-up without a retrace to VWAP.

A series of megaphones inside megaphones across 50 would imply that oil is turning the inverse head and shoulders on the chart into either an inverse head and shoulders with a triangle right shoulder or a large triangle that will eventually break out downwards.

The inverse H&S with a triangle right shoulder is more likely, and would lead to a large move up on breakout.

QQQ Bounce

QQQ Just Bounced a Second Time Off the Bottom of its Blue Rising Megaphone

QQQ Bounced a Second Time Off the Bottom of its Blue Rising Megaphone

QQQ bounced a second time off the bottom of its blue rising megaphone on Friday. That’s fussy trading.

A genuine breakout through 141 means another new high. Otherwise QQQ is stalling, forming something like a triangle before the trip to the red rising wedge bottom, a bounce there, and breakdown to at least the mandatory retrace level of 105-106.